Fire Crux MageTier 2
at GAG RDO Store Championship
decks
4
(10.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
7-11-0
overall winrate
38.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.3%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281
· median 1288
· range 1146–1401
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1234
Q3 1405
1571
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.9% | -7.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.7% | -12.7 |
| Water Allies | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -16.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Alice | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.3% | +19.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +11.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
